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2024-12-13 11:53:00

CITIC Securities: The logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, in November, China's exports maintained a certain growth rate, exports to emerging markets maintained a high growth rate, and exports of mechanical and electrical products performed brilliantly. In the short term, both CCFI index and SCFI index are on the rise, and the logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. In the long run, if the United States imposes tariffs on China, China's export performance may be dragged down. However, based on the analysis of the import share structure of the United States, the European Union, Vietnam, Mexico and other economies, we can see that the current pattern of China's trade diversification has improved compared with the last round of Sino-US trade friction, and the trade between emerging markets and China has become closer and closer. The imposition of tariffs by the United States on China may affect the bilateral trade between China and the United States more, and domestic enterprises going to sea and re-exporting trade may still be effective ways to hedge the impact of US tariffs on China.Shengmei Shanghai: The plasma enhanced atomic layer deposition furnace tube equipment has passed the preliminary verification. Shengmei Semiconductor Equipment (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. announced in Guanwei today that its Ultra Fn A plasma enhanced atomic layer deposition furnace tube equipment (PEALD) launched in 2024 has passed the preliminary process verification of a semiconductor customer in Chinese mainland, and is undergoing the final optimization and preparing for mass production. Shengmei Shanghai also announced that its Ultra Fn A Thermal Atomic Layer Deposition Furnace Equipment (Thermal ALD) launched in 2022 has also successfully passed the process verification of another leading Chinese mainland customer, and its performance parameters are comparable to or even better than those of similar international competitors.Goldman Sachs: I don't agree that gold can't reach $3,000 under a strong dollar. Goldman Sachs said that we don't agree with the view that the price of gold can't rise to $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025 when the dollar remains strong for a long time. We predict that gold will reach $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025, and the reduction of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (rather than the strengthening of the US dollar) is the downside risk of this prediction.


Maotai Group went to Laos, Cambodia and Thailand for investigation and exchange. From December 3 to 9, local time, Wan Bo, member of the Party Committee and deputy general manager of Maotai Group, led a team to Laos, Cambodia and Thailand for investigation and exchange. Through in-depth investigation of the local market, the brand promotion activities of "Maotai Night" were carried out, which continued to promote Maotai's deep cultivation in Southeast Asia. During this period, Wanbo and his party also visited Eisenwo, Chairman of the China-Cambodia Friendship Exchange Association, Princess Norodom Allen Rasmi, Director of the Cambodian Royal Modita Foundation, former Thai Deputy Prime Minister Chichai Vanashati, Chairman of the Thailand-China Friendship Association and former Thai Deputy Prime Minister Gong Taparansi, and Lao Minister of Education and Sports Pu Simarong to discuss how Maotai culture and Southeast Asian cultures can be blended and promoted together to help Maotai and China traditional culture go to sea.13 shares registered today, Hengxuan Technology, Xiamen Bank and Deshi shares have the strongest dividends. According to the statistics of the equity distribution plan of listed companies, 13 A shares registered today. Among them, 13 shares intend to pay dividends. In terms of dividends, 13 stocks paid dividends in date of record on December 11th. Hengxuan Technology, Xiamen Bank and Deshi Co., Ltd. have the strongest dividends, with dividends of 7.60 yuan for every 10 shares, 1.5 yuan and 1.2 yuan respectively. In addition, there are 5 shares that have thrown out dividend payout plans, among which Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited, Taotao Auto Industry and Hite Bio have the strongest dividend payout, with dividends of 12.3 yuan for every 10 shares, 5 yuan and 1.3 yuan respectively.Everbright Securities: The effect of trade-in subsidy for the whole year is much better than expected. Everbright Securities released a research report saying that the Politburo proposed to implement more relaxed policies, vigorously boost consumption and lead the development of new quality productivity. The intelligent direction of the automobile industry not only conforms to the development tone, but also plays an important role in boosting consumption. At the same time, the industry involves the "two new" themes of large-scale equipment renewal and trade-in of consumer goods, and the bank continues to be optimistic about investment opportunities in the automobile sector driven by favorable policies.


 Guotai Junan: The bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions for a "transformation bull" are taking shape. Guotai Junan Securities recently released the prospect of China's equity investment strategy in 2025, and the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions for a "transformation bull" are taking shape. After a long period of continuous adjustment, pessimistic expectation and clear microstructure, it is a prerequisite for the stock market to have valuation flexibility. The positive change of decision-makers' attitude towards reversing the economic situation and supporting the capital market is an important cornerstone for revising long-term expectations and getting rid of "bear market thinking" and raising the bottom of the stock market. The reform of the capital market will improve shareholders' returns, and resolving debts, promoting reform and stabilizing asset prices are expected to constitute the new "three arrows" of China's economic development, and the transformation bull of China's stock market is taking shape.Goldman Sachs: I don't agree that gold can't reach $3,000 under a strong dollar. Goldman Sachs said that we don't agree with the view that the price of gold can't rise to $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025 when the dollar remains strong for a long time. We predict that gold will reach $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025, and the reduction of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (rather than the strengthening of the US dollar) is the downside risk of this prediction.

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